$MSTRCOct 18
Strategy buys BTC · week to Oct 19
50%chance YES
$0 vol0 betsmanual
Strategy was passed over in September and is not in the S&P 500. YES if S&P Dow Jones Indices announces its addition by Dec 31 (the quarterly rebalance is expected Fri Dec 4). Announcement-based: the effective date can be later.
Outcome
YES / NO
Resolves
By S&P DJI announcement
Deadline
Dec 3, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC
Countdown
48d11h28m28s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
YES
$0.00
NO
$0.00
No bets yet — be the first to set the line.
How this resolves
ANNOUNCEMENT-based: resolves YES if S&P Dow Jones Indices publishes, between listing and Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, an announcement that Strategy Inc. (MSTR) will be added to the S&P 500 — at the quarterly rebalance or at any other time. The effective date may fall after Dec 31. Addition to any other index (S&P MidCap 400, Nasdaq-100, …) does not count. Otherwise NO. Betting closes Thu, Dec 3, 4:00 PM ET. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used.
Fee and settlement
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this Strategy market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from s&p dow jones indices press releases, by Dec 3, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC at the latest.