$MSTRCOct 18
Strategy buys BTC · week to Oct 19
50%chance YES
$0 vol0 betsmanual
Strategy holds 848,250 BTC (8-K, Oct 12). It sold 32 BTC in May 2026 — its first sale since 2022. YES if it sells any bitcoin between listing and Dec 31, disclosed by Jan 15. Event-based: when the sale happened decides, not when it was announced.
Outcome
YES / NO
Resolves
By SEC filings
Deadline
Dec 31, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC
Countdown
76d11h28m30s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
YES
$0.00
NO
$0.00
No bets yet — be the first to set the line.
How this resolves
EVENT-based, with a disclosure deadline: resolves YES if Strategy Inc. (MSTR) or a subsidiary sells any bitcoin with a trade date between Oct 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET and Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, as disclosed in an SEC filing or an official Strategy statement published by Jan 15, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Transfers between Strategy's own wallets or custodians, pledging bitcoin as collateral, and lending do not count as sales. Otherwise NO. Betting closes Dec 31, 4:00 PM ET. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used.
Fee and settlement
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this Strategy market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from sec edgar (strategy 8-k / 10-k) + strategy.com/purchases, by Dec 31, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC at the latest.