$MSTRCOct 18
Strategy buys BTC · week to Oct 19
50%chance YES
$0 vol0 betsmanual
848,250 BTC on Oct 11. Pick the band its holdings land in on Dec 31, 2026, as Strategy discloses them. A quiet quarter stays under 860K; its 2024–25 pace clears 950K.
Contenders
5
Resolution
Manual
Judged from
Strategy's bitcoin holdings at Dec 31, 2026
Deadline
Nov 30
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
Under 860,000 BTC
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
860,000 – 879,999 BTC
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
880,000 – 899,999 BTC
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
900,000 – 949,999 BTC
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
950,000 BTC or more
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Proof · committed publicly on X
Both fighters agreed to this bet in the open. The posts below are the receipts — this market just lets everyone else back a side.
Fee and resolution
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this Strategy market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. Resolves to the band containing Strategy Inc.'s aggregate bitcoin holdings as of Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, as first disclosed in an SEC filing or on strategy.com/purchases (the weekly 8-K covering Dec 31, or the 10-K). Bands include their lower bound. If no holdings figure as of Dec 31 is disclosed by Feb 28, 2027, the market is VOID and refunded. Betting closes Mon, Nov 30, 4:00 PM ET. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used. Judged from: Strategy 8-K / strategy.com/purchases.