$TSLACOct 21
TSLA call: "FSD" 18+ times?
50%chance YES
$0 vol0 betsmanual
Tesla reports Q3 2026 results on Wed, Oct 21. YES if its adjusted EPS is above $0.45 — the Street consensus frozen at listing. Meeting it exactly is NO.
Outcome
YES / NO
Resolves
By the earnings release
Deadline
Oct 21, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC
Countdown
5d10h28m19s
Total betted so far
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YES
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NO
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How this resolves
Resolves YES if Tesla's the non-GAAP (adjusted) diluted EPS the release presents (GAAP diluted EPS if it presents none) for Q3 2026, as stated in its earnings press release (SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1), is strictly greater than $0.45. $0.45 is the consensus estimate recorded at listing (Yahoo Finance consensus, read Oct 13, 2026, 24 analysts) and never moves. Equal to $0.45 resolves NO. Figures are compared as reported, to the cent. Later restatements are ignored. If the results are not released within 45 days of Wed, Oct 21, the market is VOID and refunded. Betting closes Wed, Oct 21, 4:00 PM ET, before the release. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used.
Fee and settlement
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this TSLA earnings market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from tesla earnings release (sec 8-k), by Oct 21, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC at the latest.