Non-USD stables → $200M · when
4 windows · pick when
A native multi-outcome Hunch market: pick the UTC window in which the TOTAL stablecoin market cap — every stablecoin, across every chain — first crosses $500B. It's ~$315B today (about 63% of the line, a ~1.6x climb), read live + summed from DefiLlama's aggregate stablecoin series. Resolves to the window containing the first CONFIRMED $500B crossing (a second reading ≥30 min later guards against a glitchy tick) — early-locking the instant it happens — or to “In 2028 or later” if it hasn't crossed by December 31, 2027. Winners split the entire pool pro-rata (parimutuel).
Asset
$STABLES
Live volume
$310.08B
Target
$500.00B
Countdown
536d03h18m04s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
Ranges · low → high · pick the close
Parimutuel
No bets yet — odds start even across every range. Winners split the entire pool pro-rata; bet before anyone else and you’re refunded.
By December 31, 2026
LiveEven
odds · no bets yet
H1 2027 (Jan–Jun)
Even
odds · no bets yet
H2 2027 (Jul–Dec)
Even
odds · no bets yet
In 2028 or later
Even
odds · no bets yet
Fee and resolution
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this stablecoin market-cap market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. The market resolves to the single UTC window in which total stablecoin market cap (all chains) first crosses $500.00B — read live from DefiLlama. It locks the instant the crossing is confirmed; if the line is not crossed by Jan 1, 2028, 12:00 AM UTC, the “In 2028 or later” outcome wins. The live volume above is a preview.
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