Musk derby: does SpaceX or Tesla return more in November

Key instants

Reference price

Fri, Oct 30 close (4:00 PM ET)Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 20:00 UTC

Settlement price

Mon, Nov 30 close (4:00 PM ET)Mon, Nov 30, 2026, 21:00 UTC

Betting closes

Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 PM ETFri, Oct 30, 2026, 20:00 UTC

Rules — fixed at listing

Resolves to the outcome whose price return P_settle ÷ P_ref − 1 is the largest, where P_ref is its price at the Fri, Oct 30 close (4:00 PM ET) (2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z) and P_settle at the Mon, Nov 30 close (4:00 PM ET) (2026-11-30T21:00:00.000Z). Price return only — dividends are ignored. Feeds: SPCX: 0x6a634b235903c4ad6376892180d6ff8612e3fa68; TSLA: 0xfaf869185383a24f8cb00e27bda6b63b9905dcb4. "The price at" an instant means the feed round in force then — the latest round whose updatedAt is at or before that instant — read with getRoundData() and published with the result so anyone can check it. Coinbase's feed publishes a new round when the price moves about 0.5% or every 24 hours, so the price in force can differ slightly from the exchange's printed close; the feed value is the one that counts. Returns are compared exactly on the feeds' raw answers; an exact tie for first VOIDs the market (refund) instead of an alphabetical tie-break. Betting closes at Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 PM ET. If a price needed to settle was never published, or the round in force is more than 96 hours old (a halted or paused feed), the market is VOID and every stake is refunded in full with no fee. If a stock split or reverse split takes effect inside the window, the earlier price is divided by the split ratio before comparing.

Fee and settlement

Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this Versus market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. A VOID refunds every stake in full, fee included.