EventDec 31
Base launches a token by Dec 31, 2026
99%chance YES
$10.00 vol1 betmanual
A native Hunch YES/NO market on the strangest token in the set. Among the 13 B20 contracts Coinbase deployed on Base is SPCXc — SpaceX — and Chainlink is already publishing a price for it. SpaceX is a PRIVATE company: there is no ticker, no exchange, and no way for an ordinary investor anywhere in the world to buy a share. A live, tradeable SPCXc pool would be one of the more remarkable things crypto has done — retail access to private-market exposure through a public AMM. At creation SPCXc had exactly zero supply and no pool. Resolves YES if it holds at least $250,000 of Base liquidity for 24 consecutive hours before December 31, 2026 — and NO otherwise.
Outcome
YES / NO
Resolves
By on-chain data
Deadline
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Countdown
127d13h43m20s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
YES
$0.00
NO
$0.00
No bets yet — be the first to set the line.
How this resolves
This market resolves YES if, at any time on or before December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM UTC), the SPCXc token at 0xb2000000000000000000007b9fcbd005511acbd5 on Base holds at least $250,000 of combined DEX liquidity — measured across pools where SPCXc is the BASE token of the pair, by contract address — continuously for 24 hours. A momentary spike that does not hold for a full day resolves NO, as does a non-zero token supply with no tradeable pool. Liquidity is read from DexScreener and cross-checked on-chain. Hunch settles this out-of-band from that reading and a consensus of credible reporting. At creation SPCXc had zero supply and no pool, though its Coinbase Chainlink price feed was already live.
Resolution source
SPCXc Base pool liquidity (DexScreener, by token address) + on-chain verification
View sourceFee and settlement
The 2% entry fee from this tokenized SpaceX market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from spcxc base pool liquidity (dexscreener, by token address) + on-chain verification, by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC at the latest.