With its fiscal Q3 results (expected Nov 18), NVIDIA gives an outlook for fiscal Q4 revenue. YES if the midpoint of that outlook is above $124.48B — the analyst consensus for the quarter, frozen at listing.
Outcome
YES / NO
Resolves
By the earnings release
Deadline
Nov 11, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC
Countdown
26d11h26m59s
Total betted so far
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How this resolves
Resolves YES if the revenue outlook for fiscal Q4 2027 in NVIDIA's fiscal Q3 2027 earnings release or CFO commentary (typically "Revenue is expected to be $X billion, plus or minus 2%") has a midpoint strictly greater than $124.48 billion — the Yahoo Finance consensus for the quarter read Oct 13, 2026 (42 analysts). A range is read at its midpoint. If no revenue outlook is given, NO. If the results are not released by December 31, 2026, the market is VOID and refunded. Betting closes Wed, Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used.
Fee and settlement
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this NVDA guidance market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from nvidia earnings release + cfo commentary, by Nov 11, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC at the latest.