$GOOGLCOct 28
GOOGL call: "antitrust" at all?
50%chance YES
$0 vol0 betsmanual
Alphabet reports Q3 2026 results on Wed, Oct 28. YES if its GAAP diluted EPS is above $3.02 — the Street consensus frozen at listing. Meeting it exactly is NO. Alphabet reports GAAP EPS only, which includes gains or losses on its equity stakes.
Outcome
YES / NO
Resolves
By the earnings release
Deadline
Oct 28, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC
Countdown
12d10h27m32s
Total betted so far
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YES
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NO
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How this resolves
Resolves YES if Alphabet's GAAP diluted EPS for Q3 2026, as stated in its earnings press release (SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1), is strictly greater than $3.02. $3.02 is the consensus estimate recorded at listing (Yahoo Finance consensus, read Oct 13, 2026, 43 analysts) and never moves. Equal to $3.02 resolves NO. Figures are compared as reported, to the cent. Later restatements are ignored. If the results are not released within 45 days of Wed, Oct 28, the market is VOID and refunded. Betting closes Wed, Oct 28, 4:00 PM ET, before the release. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used.
Fee and settlement
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this GOOGL earnings market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from alphabet earnings release (sec 8-k), by Oct 28, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC at the latest.