$NONE BY MAR 31, 2027Oct 19
First outsider to a $10M week
8 contenders · pick the winner
$0 vol0 betsmanual
SanDisk trades near $1,490, Micron near $990, Meta near $760, Microsoft near $545. Which of the 12 liquid Coinbase stocks announces a split first — or none by Mar 31, 2027?
Contenders
6
Resolution
Manual
Judged from
First of the 12 to announce a stock split
Deadline
Dec 31
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
SanDisk (SNDK)
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Micron (MU)
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Meta (META)
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Microsoft (MSFT)
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Another of the 12
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
None by Mar 31, 2027
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Proof · committed publicly on X
Both fighters agreed to this bet in the open. The posts below are the receipts — this market just lets everyone else back a side.
Fee and resolution
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this stock-split market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. Resolves to the first company among NVDA, AAPL, GOOGL, META, AMZN, MSFT, TSLA, MSTR, SNDK, SPCX, MU and PLTR whose board approves and publicly announces a forward stock split (press release or SEC 8-K) between listing and Mar 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET; "Another of the 12" if it is one not named separately; "None" if none does. Reverse splits do not count. If two announce on the same day, the earlier publication timestamp wins. Betting closes Thu, Dec 31, 4:00 PM ET. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used. Judged from: Company press releases / SEC 8-K.
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