Native marketManual resolution4 contenders · pick the winner

Which goes live on Base first: Coinbase, Circle or Intel

All three have a Coinbase Chainlink feed and a B20 contract but no shares yet. Which gets shares issued first — or none by Dec 31?

Contenders

Resolution

Manual

Judged from

First of COINc / CRCLc / INTCc with shares on Base

Deadline

Dec 31

Total betted so far

$0.00

0 bets

Coinbase (COINc)

Favourite25¢

Even

odds · no bets yet

Backed

Circle (CRCLc)

25¢

Even

odds · no bets yet

Backed

Intel (INTCc)

25¢

Even

Proof · committed publicly on X

Both fighters agreed to this bet in the open. The posts below are the receipts — this market just lets everyone else back a side.

Basescan token transfers (mint events)

Fee and resolution

Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this tokenized-stock listings market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. Resolves to the token whose FIRST mint (the first Transfer from the zero address on Base, per Basescan) has the earliest block: COINc 0xb200000000000000000000c85a31389d71f3ecfb, CRCLc 0xb20000000000000000000019f6e7c675b73c2e4d, INTCc 0xb2000000000000000000004aff16039ba04bdfbc. "None" if none mints by Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Betting closes Dec 31, 4:00 PM ET, or when the first mint is published on Hunch (Hunch settles it as soon as it happens). These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used. Judged from: Basescan token transfers (mint events).

Which goes live on Base first: Coinbase, Circle or Intel

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