$B20Dec 31
First stock to $10M float on Base
6 contenders · pick the winner
$0 vol0 betsmanual
MSTRc holds the record with $81.6M (week of Sep 28). Which is first to $100M of DEX volume in a single week on Base — or none by Dec 31?
Contenders
7
Resolution
Manual
Judged from
First Coinbase stock to a $100M DEX-volume week
Deadline
Oct 19
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
Strategy (MSTRc)
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Meta (METAc)
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
SanDisk (SNDKc)
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Alphabet (GOOGLc)
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
NVIDIA (NVDAc)
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Another stock
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
None by Dec 31
Even
odds · no bets yet
Backed
$0
Proof · committed publicly on X
Both fighters agreed to this bet in the open. The posts below are the receipts — this market just lets everyone else back a side.
Fee and resolution
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this DEX volume market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. Resolves to the first Coinbase stock whose weekly DEX volume on Base reaches $100,000,000 for a completed Monday–Sunday UTC week ending on or before Dec 27, 2026. A stock's weekly DEX volume = the sum, over the Monday–Sunday UTC days, of GeckoTerminal's daily USD volume candles across every Base pool where it is the base token with at least $50,000 of liquidity (per DexScreener when Hunch checks). Hunch publishes the per-stock weekly totals it used. Same week → the larger volume wins. Betting closes Mon, Oct 19, 12:00 AM UTC. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used. Judged from: GeckoTerminal daily pool candles + DexScreener.
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