$B20Nov 30
Coinbase feed for MU or PLTR
50%chance YES
$0 vol0 betsmanual
Coinbase's tokenized stocks are issued from Abu Dhabi and not offered to US persons. YES if Coinbase makes them available to US users on or before Dec 31.
Outcome
YES / NO
Resolves
By hand · named source
Deadline
Dec 31, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC
Countdown
76d11h28m28s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
YES
$0.00
NO
$0.00
No bets yet — be the first to set the line.
How this resolves
Resolves YES if, between listing and Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, Coinbase officially announces (blog, press release, SEC filing or its help center) that US-resident retail users can buy or hold its tokenized stocks, and that access is live (not a waitlist or a future date). Accredited- or institutional-only access does not count. Otherwise NO. Betting closes Dec 31, 4:00 PM ET. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used.
Fee and settlement
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this Coinbase US access market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from coinbase announcements, by Dec 31, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC at the latest.
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