$B20Nov 30
Coinbase feed for MU or PLTR
50%chance YES
$0 vol0 betsmanual
Robinhood's tokenized stocks did about $6.57B in September; Coinbase's on Base did a record $502M week. YES if Coinbase's monthly volume tops Robinhood Chain's in October, November or December.
Outcome
YES / NO
Resolves
By rwa.xyz data
Deadline
Dec 31, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC
Countdown
76d11h27m47s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
YES
$0.00
NO
$0.00
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How this resolves
Resolves YES if, for any calendar month from October through December 2026, rwa.xyz's monthly transfer/trading volume for Coinbase's tokenized stocks exceeds the same rwa.xyz figure for Robinhood's tokenized stocks, using the same metric for both, read after the month ends. Otherwise NO. If rwa.xyz stops publishing either figure, Token Terminal's equivalent is used. Betting closes Dec 31, 4:00 PM ET. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used.
Fee and settlement
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this tokenized-stock volume market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from rwa.xyz issuer volumes, by Dec 31, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC at the latest.
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