A native multi-outcome Hunch market: pick the UTC quarter in which Bitcoin (BTC) first crosses $150,000. BTC is ~$63,900 today — about 43% of the way, a ~2.3x move to a fresh all-time high — read live from CoinGecko's canonical USD spot price. Resolves to the window containing the first CONFIRMED $150,000 crossing (a second reading ≥30 min later guards against a flash wick) — early-locking the instant it happens — or to “Q4 2027 or later” if BTC hasn't crossed by September 30, 2027. Winners split the entire pool pro-rata (parimutuel).
Asset
$BTC
Live price
$62,171
Target
$150,000
Countdown
444d03h20m39s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
Ranges · low → high · pick the close
Parimutuel
No bets yet — odds start even across every range. Winners split the entire pool pro-rata; bet before anyone else and you’re refunded.
By December 31, 2026
LiveEven
odds · no bets yet
Q1 2027 (Jan–Mar)
Even
odds · no bets yet
Q2 2027 (Apr–Jun)
Even
odds · no bets yet
Q3 2027 (Jul–Sep)
Even
odds · no bets yet
Q4 2027 or later
Even
odds · no bets yet
Fee and resolution
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this BTC price market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. The market resolves to the single UTC window in which BTC price first crosses $150,000 — read live from CoinGecko. It locks the instant the crossing is confirmed; if the line is not crossed by Oct 1, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC, the “Q4 2027 or later” outcome wins. The live price above is a preview.