$BASEJul 30
Base keeps >90% of x402 transactions
50%chance YES
$0 vol0 betsmanual
A native Hunch YES/NO market on Base's throughput. Resolves YES the instant Base's measured transactions-per-second reaches 5,000 at any settlement tick on or before December 31, 2026 — otherwise NO at the deadline. TPS is read directly from Base mainnet blocks over JSON-RPC (the chain itself, no API key or third-party aggregator), averaged over a trailing ~5-minute window so a single bursty minute can't spoof the line. At creation Base sustains a few hundred TPS — well over 10× below the 5,000 target.
Outcome
YES / NO
Target
5,000 TPS
Deadline
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Countdown
171d03h17m14s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
YES
$0.00
NO
$0.00
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Live Base throughput · on-chain
block 48,592,976Current TPS
64
Target
5,000
How this resolves
Resolves YES the instant Base's measured throughput reaches 5,000 TPS at any settlement tick on or before Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC — an early-lockable milestone. Otherwise NO at the deadline. TPS is measured directly from Base mainnet blocks over JSON-RPC (transactions per second, averaged over a trailing ~5-minute window) — the chain itself, no API key or third-party aggregator.
Fee and settlement
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. At creation (Jun 4, 2026, 08:15 AM UTC) Base sustained ≈ 350 TPS — well over 10× below the 5,000 line.
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