$B20Dec 31
Tokenized stocks as Aave collateral
50%chance YES
$0 vol0 betsmanual
A native Hunch YES/NO market on what comes after single stocks. Individual shares are the first wave; the business that actually holds the world's money is indexing. Once a handful of tokenized stocks exist on one chain, someone can wrap them into a single token you buy in one trade — an on-chain index fund that never closes. Resolves YES if a product holding a basket of at least five distinct tokenized equities launches on Base with real liquidity before December 31, 2026 — and NO otherwise. At creation only four tokenized stocks had any on-chain supply at all, so this needs the roster to grow first.
Outcome
YES / NO
Resolves
By on-chain data
Deadline
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Countdown
127d13h43m07s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
YES
$0.00
NO
$0.00
No bets yet — be the first to set the line.
How this resolves
This market resolves YES if, at any time on or before December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM UTC), a publicly accessible product on Base holds a basket of at least FIVE distinct tokenized equities (B20 tokens or any other tokenized stock) and gives holders exposure to that basket through a single transferable token or vault share, with at least $250,000 of assets under management held for 24 consecutive hours. Index vaults, structured products, and tokenized ETFs all count. A basket of fewer than five equities, a portfolio tool that merely helps a user buy the tokens separately, an announcement without a live product, or a product on any chain other than Base all resolve NO. Hunch settles this from the product's on-chain holdings and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
On-chain holdings of the product's vault/token on Base + credible reporting
View sourceFee and settlement
The 2% entry fee from this tokenized index market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from on-chain holdings of the product's vault/token on base + credible reporting, by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC at the latest.
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