$B20Nov 30
Coinbase feed for MU or PLTR
50%chance YES
$0 vol0 betsmanual
46,700 holders on Sep 21 (a 97-fold jump in 30 days). YES if the RWA data platform reports at least 100,000 holders of Coinbase's tokenized stocks on Base at any point on or before Dec 31.
Outcome
YES / NO
Resolves
By rwa.xyz data
Deadline
Dec 31, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC
Countdown
76d11h26m59s
Total betted so far
$0.00
0 bets
YES
$0.00
NO
$0.00
No bets yet — be the first to set the line.
How this resolves
Resolves YES if rwa.xyz (app.rwa.xyz/stocks, issuer Coinbase, network Base) shows a holder count of at least 100,000 at any point between listing and Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, as shown on the page or its archived snapshots; Token Terminal's equivalent figure is the fallback if rwa.xyz is unavailable. Otherwise NO. Betting closes Dec 31, 4:00 PM ET. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used.
Fee and settlement
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this tokenized-stock holders market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from rwa.xyz tokenized stocks (coinbase · base), by Dec 31, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC at the latest.
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