$AMZNCOct 19
AMZN Weekend Open · Oct 19
50%chance YES
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Amazon reports Q3 2026 results around Thu, Oct 29 (expected). YES if its GAAP diluted EPS is above $1.95 — the Street consensus frozen at listing. Meeting it exactly is NO. Amazon reports GAAP EPS only, which includes gains or losses on its equity stakes.
Outcome
YES / NO
Resolves
By the earnings release
Deadline
Oct 22, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC
Countdown
6d10h27m47s
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How this resolves
Resolves YES if Amazon's GAAP diluted EPS for Q3 2026, as stated in its earnings press release (SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1), is strictly greater than $1.95. $1.95 is the consensus estimate recorded at listing (Yahoo Finance consensus, read Oct 13, 2026, 45 analysts) and never moves. Equal to $1.95 resolves NO. Figures are compared as reported, to the cent. Later restatements are ignored. If the results are not released within 45 days of Thu, Oct 29, the market is VOID and refunded. Betting closes Thu, Oct 22, 4:00 PM ET, before the release. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used.
Fee and settlement
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this AMZN earnings market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from amazon earnings release (sec 8-k), by Oct 22, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC at the latest.