$AAPLCAlways on
Apple ($AAPLc) up or down today
50%chance UP
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Apple reports fiscal Q4 2026 results on Mon, Nov 2. YES if its GAAP diluted EPS is above $1.98 — the Street consensus frozen at listing. Meeting it exactly is NO.
Outcome
YES / NO
Resolves
By the earnings release
Deadline
Nov 2, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC
Countdown
17d11h26m58s
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How this resolves
Resolves YES if Apple's GAAP diluted EPS for fiscal Q4 2026, as stated in its earnings press release (SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1), is strictly greater than $1.98. $1.98 is the consensus estimate recorded at listing (Yahoo Finance consensus, read Oct 13, 2026, 27 analysts) and never moves. Equal to $1.98 resolves NO. Figures are compared as reported, to the cent. Later restatements are ignored. If the results are not released within 45 days of Mon, Nov 2, the market is VOID and refunded. Betting closes Mon, Nov 2, 4:00 PM ET, before the release. These rules are fixed at listing and are never clarified or edited afterwards; Hunch settles by hand from the named source and publishes the figure it used.
Fee and settlement
Fees fund Hunch markets. The 2% entry fee from this AAPL earnings market goes to the Hunch market treasury. Winners split the entire market pool pro-rata by stake (parimutuel), so payouts never exceed the pool. This market has no live price feed — it is settled manually once the outcome is clear from apple earnings release (sec 8-k), by Nov 2, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC at the latest.